Every result here is measured against the REAL closing spread/total, not a flat 50% — the line already prices in team quality, so a real deviation from it (not just "good teams cover more") is what a genuine situational edge looks like.
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Watch out: A trend needs at least 30 decided games before it's marked trusted (a green border below) — below that, a cover rate away from 50% is not statistically distinguishable from chance, no matter how dramatic the record looks. "Units" and "ROI" assume a flat 1-unit bet at standard -110 odds on every qualifying game (we don't have a historical per-game price archive) — a real, disclosed approximation, not hidden in fine print.
Every card is from the labeled side's own perspective (e.g. "Home favorites" counts only how home favorites did against the spread).